Trading desks today face the combined challenge of how to process massive amounts of market data, how to connect and route their orders to the appropriate venues and how to make best use of software, hardware and network connectivity to do it all in a timely manner. The days when a small reduction in latency could result in a big gain in revenues are gone. Nowadays, low latency is a pre-requisite to do business and we have to look beyond pure speed if we aim at achieving a competitive edge.
Friday, July 22, 2016
Wednesday, April 20, 2016
The first question the trader has to answer under MIFID II is whether a bond id sufficiently liquid that it will have to trade on a venue. ESMA will make that determination issuing specific guidelines. Traders have to check these guidelines to see if they can simply provide an OTC price or if they need to trade it on a venue. Under MIFID II, if the firm's market making activity an a bond is significant and frequent, then the firm must be registered as a SI in order to commit capital to the trade. If the firm instead operates on that bond infrequently and in small sizes, then it can just provide an OTC price.
if the bond does not meet internal criteria for capital committment or the firm does not want to trade it because it does not want to become an SI then the firm act as an agent, working the order on a RM or MTF or find the other side operating as a riskless principal or matched principal. Finally, it can operate as an OTF where customer-only orders interact.
In any case, transparency obligations will be enforced, according to the liquidity bucket of the bond. the trader has to check whether the bond can avail of a transparency waiver. If yes, after a compliance check, the price can be given to the client and Bloomberg's APA will hold the release of the completed trades as per ESMA's guidelines. If not, the price provided to the client has to be made public through an APA (Approved Publication Arrangement) simultaneously. Bloomberg will be an APA.
if the bond does not meet internal criteria for capital committment or the firm does not want to trade it because it does not want to become an SI then the firm act as an agent, working the order on a RM or MTF or find the other side operating as a riskless principal or matched principal. Finally, it can operate as an OTF where customer-only orders interact.
In any case, transparency obligations will be enforced, according to the liquidity bucket of the bond. the trader has to check whether the bond can avail of a transparency waiver. If yes, after a compliance check, the price can be given to the client and Bloomberg's APA will hold the release of the completed trades as per ESMA's guidelines. If not, the price provided to the client has to be made public through an APA (Approved Publication Arrangement) simultaneously. Bloomberg will be an APA.
Tuesday, March 22, 2016
How are you getting ahead of impacts of recent regulatory
proposals? Do you think there is more the buyside can do to increase their
partnership in response?
Tighter regulations around the world have profoundly changed
the financial markets landscape over the last few years. In many cases they have
contributed to bring more clarity, in other cases they have created more
ambiguity and uncertainty.
We have been very vocal during the latest approval process
for MiFID II by taking an active role during the relevant consultation process
as part of buy-side working group.
Our view is that, especially in Europe, policymakers do not take on board enough
feedback from the industry and that might lead to unintended consequences. This
happens because often new legislation are initiated as an emotional immediate response
to extreme crisis events or fraud cases. The risk in these cases is that the
discussion around the table of policymakers might become too politicised and
philosophical around topics that are sensitive for the public, such as ”more
transparency is always good” and “less transparency is always bad”.
The risk is that the new legislation in the best case does
not address the issue that was supposed to address and in the worst case it
brings unintended consequence. In both cases it is a missed opportunity.
We envisage a greater role for supervisors, central banks
and regulators towards creating a financial market environment where investors
are protected by predatory behaviours and fair competition can be established
among all market participants.
However, legislators should involve more the industry bodies
in the consultation process in order to ensure that all interests are
represented.
In Pioneer we have been very vocal during the latest
approval process for MiFID II, both as part of buy-side working group and
taking an active role during the relevant industry consultation process. With
particular reference to transparency, we reiterate our view that we have always
supported the idea that an appropriate level of transparency is necessary and
beneficial. However, transparency should be a mean to bring certain benefits to
the end investors and not an objective itself.
We remain convinced that transparency, especially in fixed
income, is strictly correlated with liquidity and does not work for all
markets. So we are in favour of the development of more transparent obligations
as long as it enhances the price formation process and brings benefit to the
end investors. In the more illiquid markets, instead, these challenges are
harder to solve just imposing more transparency, because all you need is more liquidity,
and in such markets more transparency might lead to the opposite effect. We feel that the extension of pre-trade
transparency without a proper calibration to the less liquid part of the market
harm liquidity rather than improving it.
We feel that more efficient post-trade transparency with
proper calibration to ensure market makers can absorb the risk and to protect
liquidity across less liquid instruments might provide the transparency the
market is looking for. )
Role of the OMS and EMS
As I said, given the technological development of the
trading landscape over the last few years, OMS are critical to cope with the
highly fragmented today’s market structure and to minimize inefficiencies and risks connected with the
trading process, with potential for an enhanced price discovery process and
better quality of execution.
EMS (Execution management System) are key to enhance the
execution functionalities of the OMS, increasing the percentage of trading
volume executed electronically, enhancing traders’ capability to source
liquidity from all available sources, from low touch and DMAs to algo trading
and dark pools and to make that choice with the speed that today’s trading
environment requires. The latter is critical when you have trading volumes in excess
of 500 bil Euro yearly across all asset classes with a huge variety of
requirements and criteria in terms of how best to achieve best execution.
What are the biggest constraints or challenges you see in
the future trading landscape?
With more than 250 bil $ under management and a global
multi-asset trading desk with volume in excess of 1 trillion bil Euro yearly,
it is easy to understand that liquidity is our main concern.
We have to deal with a huge variety of orders across a wide
range of asset classes, each with a diversified set of requirements and
criteria in terms of how best to achieve best execution.
In order to succeed with such a large trading operation, we
have to use a mix of orders, from brokers’ algos to low touch and DMAs, from
dark pools to traditional high-touch orders. When liquidity is low and market
impact might be significant, our approach is to source liquidity from all
available sources.
In defining our execution strategy, liquidity is certainly
the key element we consider. Our objective is always to build our positions
trying to minimise market impact. Due to our large sizes we want to do that with
the appropriate level of confidentiality to protect our investors. Therefore,
the route and venues that we select depend really from the type of order that
we are trying to execute. If we are working a large position, we feel our
investors are better protected when trading away from lit venues, using
high-touch orders with our most trusted counterparties, because our trading
info are better protected as no one can see what you are trying to do and you
can eventually get a decent part of your institutional block trade done. We
know that if a large trade is spotted entering the market, our traders are open
to abuse by HFT firms. It’s like playing poker where the other players else can
see your hand. We have nothing against HFT, we just do not want to interact
with them. These firms are making it fundamentally more difficult for
institutional long-term investors to interact with the market and find
liquidity at fair prices and generates volumes not liquidity.
If we are executing high ADV stocks, then we normally look
at low-touch, electronic platform, DMA and algos, because we believe it can
give us a better access to a fragmented liquidity and ensure the required level
of anonymity.
How has regulation shaped your world?
I don’t know if anyone can ever define a victory something
that will lead to further delay in implementing one of the most important piece
of legislation since Mifid I.
But what we can say is that we were expecting it.
We have been very vocal during the latest approval process
for MiFID II by taking an active role during the relevant consultation process
as part of buy-side working group and through industry association. And I can
tell you that during our meetings and trip to Brussels, we have realised how
little the buy-side and sell-side was conflicted in this debate. At the end of
the day, our shared concern was to ensure that we do not lose the ability to
invest money efficiently for our clients.
Our view is that policymakers did
not take on board enough feedback from the industry during the approval
process. Usually
the normal approach provides for intense consultation and evidence through
lobbying. This was not the case in the current regulation reform approval
process where it seemed that the nature of the process became soon highly
politicised with most member countries and MEPs that took a philosophical
approach on topic like “more
transparency is always good, less transparency is always bad.
Unfortunately this is not true.
The risk is that the new legislation in the best case does
not address the issue that was supposed to address and in the worst case it
brings unintended consequence. In both cases it is a missed opportunity.
We envisage a greater role for supervisors, central banks
and regulators towards creating a financial market environment where investors
are protected by predatory behaviours and fair competition can be established
among all market participants.
With particular reference to transparency, we reiterate our
view that an appropriate level of transparency is necessary and beneficial.
However, transparency should be a mean to bring certain benefits to the end
investors and not an objective itself.
We remain convinced that transparency is strictly correlated
with liquidity and does not work for all markets. So, we are in favour of the
development of stricter transparent obligations as long as it enhances the
price formation process and brings benefit to the end investors. We feel that
the extension of pre-and post-trade transparency requirements without a proper
calibration to the less liquid part of the market will harm liquidity rather
than improving it.
We feel that a post-trade transparency regime supported by a
level of calibration capable of ensuring that market makers can absorb the risk
and to protect liquidity across less liquid instruments might provide the
transparency the market is looking for.
It is pointless to say that we are not against transparency. However,
if the so-called “equitization” of fixed income market means forcing full
transparency, irrespective of the asset class traded, liquidity, the type of order
or the market conditions, then this is wrong, simply because it will deteriorate
the price formation process.
In the more illiquid markets, the extension of pre-trade
transparency without a proper calibration to the less liquid part of the market
could have a number of undesirable effects, such as:
·
harming liquidity, as market makers will
either widen their spreads (increase cost of trading) or step away from the
market (liquidity deterioration). Dealers that win a trade responding to an RFQ
on an MTF will see their ability to hedge the position compromised by the
information leakage to the losing dealers that can now take the contrarian
market position.
·
Increasing the cost of funding for all issuers as they
have to offer a premium over secondary market (which in turn might already be
trading at a wider spread in high volatility time)
·
Agency model will concentrate trading only in
liquid debt (issue for SME and project financing), de facto impacting the
ability of SME and Infrastructure Projects to access financing, raise capital,
fund their activities, grow and create jobs
I think we make no mistake if we say
that the main target of MIFID I was to bring down the cost of transaction for
investors and secondly, to facilitate the creation of a large secondary market
which could eventually enhance liquidity.
There appears in fact to be a public
consensus that while MIFID I was a success as competition became a reality,
there were a number of side-effects:
1) THE FIRST ONE IS LIQUIDITY: MIFID I
is now widely recognised as a complete failure in terms of enhancing the level
of liquidity in lit markets and instead had a devastating effect for liquidity.
It has increased fragmentation of liquidity across more trading venues, which
has made it more difficult for the buy-side to understand where the liquidity
is. Where before there was a single provider of liquidity, now we see a
proliferation of alternative venues, both lit and dark.
So
MIFID 2 review was an opportunity. An opportunity to learn from the
mistakes and counter effects brought my MIFID I and eventually ensure that financial markets serve
European investors’ needs.
We believe that MIFID II should restore truth
in Europe’s financial markets, by encouraging fair price formation, efficient
capital allocation, returns for savers, risk mitigation tools and eventually
market that deliver social benefits because let’s not forget that European
citizen do finance the real economy through their investments in pension funds,
UCITS, Insurance plans.
-
significant reduction of liquidity in the
secondary market
-
which might in turn lead to widened spreads
-
greater cost of trading
-
lower liquidity across exchanges
-
Eventually worsening significantly the quality
of the execution for the end customers, the long-term savers.
What
we said to the regulators in Brussels was that we needed to keep the interests
of long-term investors at the centre of discussions . We have
brought to the attention of the regulators three main concerns:
Liquidity in fixed income markets
Over the past few years, much has been written
about bond market liquidity. In this brief presentation, we will go through
some of the main set of data that have been cited by several reports as being
the main causes of liquidity reduction.
-
The
decline in broker-dealer inventories
-
The
decline in turnover by comparing the amounts of bonds outstanding to bond
trading volumes
-
The
increase in corporate bond issuance
-
The
growth of the asset management industry
Notwithstanding the above, we feel that the
above data ignore several other factors and constraints that might drive the
decisional process of market participants in different directions, in particular:
1) Liquidity is not free.
Inherent in the price of fixed income assets is
the concept that liquidity has a cost. The cost of liquidity can increase when
immediacy is needed and even more so if immediacy is demanded when liquidity is
scarce. An increased cost of liquidity might mean losses for some investors
but, at the some times, it might mean an investment opportunity for some other
market players, who can see a market sell-off as a buying opportunity. This
circumstance, introduce the next element often forgotten in liquidity analysis:
2) Many asset owners have unrelated investment objectives and constraints
that drive their behaviour in disparate ways
During the spike in volatility that
occurred on the high yield market in December 2015, mutual funds redeemed
almost $10bil of assets from high yields funds. However, the HY market did not register
a net negative net flows, for the simple reasons that while mutual funds were
selling, other institutional investors decided to increase their HY allocation,
viewing the sell-off as an attractive buying opportunity. Hence, while
increased liquidity cost might reduce investment returns and generate losses
for some, it might generate profit for someone else. The fact that there are
winners and losers in the market clearly shows that we are facing market risk
not systemic risk.
3) Diversity of asset owners
While the asset management industry
has grown in size, the majority of fixed income assets are owned by long-term
low turnover investors, such as fund managers, pension funds and insurers. These
firms have all different objectives related to return, risk, investment
horizon, liability structure, tax regime and liquidity needs. It is therefore
unlikely to assume that they will all react in the same way when facing a
market event.
4)
Bond turnover data often omits the growth of ETF
market as a source of liquidity
We think that these data reflect a structural
change to market liquidity that is encouraging market participants to evolve
and adapt their processes and systems.
What to do:
1) Enhance trading capabilities
In Pioneer, over the last few years,
we have made a significant investment in technology to enhance our trading
capabilities through the deployment of a global integrated order management
system, an embedded execution management system, the deployment of the Global
Trading Desk, the enhancement of our connectivity platform and the development
of a comprehensive set of trading tools aimed at improving our execution
capabilities.
2) Adapt the investment process
We are not alone in the firm.
Portfolio managers have also adapted their investment process to account for
reduced market liquidity and our risk management function has also built new
tools to enhance its monitoring of liquidity risk in our portfolios. The inability,
or worse, the unwillingness to adapt to the change in market structure and
liquidity through stronger trading capabilities, thoughtful investment process
and more robust risk management tools can lead to significant issues.
3) Recognise and accept liquidity as a cost and represent market risk, not
systemic
4) Modernise fixed income market structure
Market participants have increasingly looked at
new ways to become more efficient at aggregating fragmented sources of
liquidity and to find smarter solutions to execute trades. This has resulted in
the development of electronic platforms. All dominant electronic multi-dealer
platforms, such as Marketaxess, Bloomberg, Tradeweb are all trying to discover
new way of connecting people.
Besides, new initiatives have been launched
aimed at offering new trading protocols and innovative solution to find
liquidity by directly connecting buyer and sellers with a much lower level of
intermediation. What follows is a
non-exhaustive list of initiative that are gathering attention from market
players:
-
All-to-all
-
Buy-side to buy-side: One of the main problems of B2B
trading network is determining the price for a bilateral exchange between two
buy-side participants in the absence of a multilateral market price which could
be considered ‘fair’ to both sides and agreed as fair by the regulator. In the
equity world, this problem is solved by the use of the mid between the best bid
and offer (BBO) across all the marketplaces in which that equity trades – the
European Best Bid and Offer (EBBO). But this is not available for bonds.
Blackrock, which launched a B2B platform in 2012, announced a year after that
it was discontinuing its attempt to offer such a service.
-
Liquidity
aggregator: Neptune
-
Call Market: this is also the way in which most
European stock markets including the LSE set opening and closing prices. It simply
consists of a “periodic market auction”. Periodic auctions, rather than
continuous auctions, aggregate the buy-side’s demand for liquidity over a
period of time into a short trading session. In this model, it is thus much
more likely that a match can be found for bonds which trade relatively
infrequently. In addition, often if there is no match, the provider of the
‘sessions’ platform, may be willing to commit capital and take the other side.
-
Hybrid system: these are system that use both electronic
trading and voice assistance. It operates in a similar way to a limit order
book in many regards. It requires two parties to agree a price at which they
will trade, but the platform provider also advertises the trade to the market
for a brief period. More often than not, other participants join in and the
trade goes through in larger size than the amount agreed between the two
original parties. This system brings in people who are neither traditional
takers or makers but a third group which is opportunistic: people who want to
see a trade happening first and will then go along. Order book trading can also
be supplemented by periodic auctions when there is insufficient liquidity in
the continuous trading order book.
We are probably at a stage in the electronic
market development where new trading platforms will continue to be launched at
regular intervals. But we will also see a Darwinian process whereby many of
them will fail to gather sufficient business and will disappear.
For liquid bonds, exchange type trading may
become more common.
Where that liquidity is not there, a continuous
market with pre-trade transparency will not work and perhaps even periodic
auctions may not solve the problem. Thus brokers/dealers capital facilitation
might be needed at an higher cost. Institutional LIS crossing network will
succeed and buy-side will probably shift toward a more active role in price
making rather than just participating as a price taker.
5) From price takers to price makers
If we consider that in excess of 90% of bonds
inventory (some say even 99%) is held by institutional bond investors, it is
easy to understand that the asset management industry is holding the key to
address the liquidity conundrum. Those large dormant inventories held by asset
managers, pension funds and other institutional investors are a natural source
of liquidity that can be used as an alternative to the now greatly reduced capacity
of broker/dealers to use balance sheets to facilitate clients’ trades. How can
that be achieved? By shifting from a pure price takers role to a price makers
one, a role that large asset managers like us have to start considering.
What would be the risk and the opportunities
connected to such a model change? The reward would be to take out the spread
instead of paying the spread. A price maker in fact buy at the bid and sell at
the offer, therefore the net result will
be a significant improvements in terms of pricing and eventually performance
for the end client. Making prices does, of course, present a risk of losing
money by getting the price wrong or having unwanted positions. However, asset
managers are much better equipped from to manage inventories for a number of
reasons:
-
Brokers/dealers
have their trading books highly mismatched from a maturity perspective’ since
they finance long-term bonds with overnight repo. In contrast to broker/
dealers, asset managers do not have to re-finance their long maturity inventory
every day in the overnight repo market and therefore do not have to bear the
risk of not being able to roll-over repo during a liquidity crunch.
-
Fund
managers do not need to be concerned with collateral or haircuts
-
Asset
managers are not subject to the Basel III Liquidity Ratios, which also raise
the cost of broker/ dealer market-making. Their portfolios are already funded
by their fund investors so they are better placed to provide liquidity to each
other than are highly leveraged intermediaries.
We believe that if the buy-side offered liquidity
services successfully, it would have private and public benefits. The private
benefit would be to create another source of alpha for clients. The public
benefit would be a shift of liquidity provision from highly leveraged firms to
unleveraged funds which would likely
reduce systemic risk.
And this is not only true in the secondary
market, but would bring huge benefits to the functioning of the primary market
as well, which, as we know, is one of the main source of alpha for asset
managers over the past few years. Over the last few years primary markets went
through significant change in terms of how the underwriting system works. Traditionally,
in primary deals, lead managers buy the whole issue from the corporate before
it had been sold to investors, thus taking on price risk prior to distribution.
When this happens, broker/ dealers (investment banks) commit substantial funds,
hence regulatory capital, to the distribution process, which under the new
Basel regulatory framework would become much more costly. Today the majority of
the deals eomply the so-called ‘pot’ system, where only when sufficient orders
have been collected to cover the whole amount of the issue (the book), the deal
is finally priced. Only at this point, when there is virtually no risk of loss,
the new issue is finally launched. Bonds are then allocated to clients of all
underwriters by the ‘book-running/lead manager. In other words deals are no
longer launched until they are already placed i.e. effectively bought by
investors. So the underwriting risk has largely been taken away from the
dealers. On the other hand, buy-side asset managers find increasingly herder to
understand how to play a more meaningful role in this market as the rules of
engagement of the process of allocation are not always completely clear and
transparent. An alternative would be for the buy-side to work with the
sell-side by joining distribution syndicates and acquiring their positions
directly from an issuer. In such case, the investment bank would undertake only
pricing and issue management rather than also providing capital commitment. As
in direct buy-side participation in the secondary market, this would allow
institutional investors to buy at the syndicate buying price (bid) rather than
at the syndicate selling price (offer). It would, of course, mean taking on a
different role and taking on additional risk but in a similar way to
institutional equity investors participate as new issue sub-underwriters. For
those that would undertake these activities successfully, it would be another
way of successfully generating alpha.
The move to a more active role of asset
managers in the market making space is less far than we think. In fact, while in dealer markets only dealers
can provide quotes, on an order-book markets any trader accepted on the system
can enter limit orders and can thus potentially offer liquidity to other
traders (by being a price maker). As a result, in an electronic order-book driven
market, dealers and buy-side are, in terms of the types of order they may
enter, no different from each other. On an all-to-all platform both can enter
limit orders (make price) as well as market orders (take prices).
Will institutional bond investors enter the
market as ‘dealers’? we don’t know but certainly tis is an opportunity for
asset managers. Certainly the skills required to price securities are very
different from those of the traditional institutional buy-side trader, whether
in equities or bonds. It requires skills, competence and platform. It require a
move to a multi-asset trading desk and a global integrated trading IT
infrastructure that is capable of supporting the complexity, and related risks,
of such activity.
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
We are concerned about the new equities-like transparency rules for non-equity products that are being introduced under Mifid2. These rules means that for some instruments, prices will need to be made public as well as the details of the executed deal. Other securities that previously traded over-the-counter will be forced to onto organised venues. We are concerned that too much transparency will harm our ability to trade effectively in illiquid items, potentially bringing a further element of strain on liquidity in these markets. We understand that finding that right balance in transparency obligations capable of supporting the price formation process and at the same time encouraging the provision of liquidity is a difficult equation to achieve. However, we feel that the unintended consequence of setting wrong transparency obligations might be significant, especially in an market crisis event.
Thursday, February 18, 2016
All-to-all:
Buy-side to buy-side: One of the main problems of B2B trading network is determining the price for a bilateral exchange between two buy-side participants in the absence of a multilateral market price which could be considered ‘fair’ to both sides and agreed as fair by the regulator. In the equity world, this problem is solved by the use of the mid between the best bid and offer (BBO) across all the marketplaces in which that equity trades – the European Best Bid and Offer (EBBO). But this is not available for bonds. Blackrock, which launched a B2B platform in 2012, announced a year after that it was discontinuing its attempt to offer such a service.
Liquidity aggregator: Neptune
Call Market: this is also the way in which most European stock markets including the LSE set opening and closing prices. It simply consists of a “periodic market auction”. Periodic auctions, rather than continuous auctions, aggregate the buy-side’s demand for liquidity over a period of time into a short trading session. In this model, it is thus much more likely that a match can be found for bonds which trade relatively infrequently. In addition, often if there is no match, the provider of the ‘sessions’ platform, may be willing to commit capital and take the other side.
Hybrid system: these are system that use both electronic trading and voice assistance. It operates in a similar way to a limit order book in many regards. It requires two parties to agree a price at which they will trade, but GFI then advertises the trade to the market for a brief period. More often than not, other participants join in and the trade goes through in larger size than the amount agreed between the two original parties. This system brings in people who are neither traditional takers or makers but a third group which is opportunistic: people who want to see a trade happening first and will then go along. Order book trading can also be supplemented by periodic auctions when there is insufficient liquidity in the continuous trading order book.
We are probably at a stage in the electronic market development where new trading platforms will continue to be launched at regular intervals. But we will also see a Darwinian process whereby many of them will fail to gather sufficient business and will disappear.
For liquid bonds, exchange type trading may become more common. Where that liquidity is not there, a continuos market with pre-trade transparency will not work and perhaps even periodioc auctions may not solve the problem. Thus brokers/dealers capital facilitation might be needed at an higher cost. Institutional LIS crossing network will succeed and buy-side will probably shift toward a more active role in price making rather than just participating as a price taker.
Can
the buy-side make prices?
Corporate
bond dealers in the US are said to have reduced their corporate bond
inventories from a level of around $250billion in 2007 to only around $50billion
in 2012. With so little inventory and the cost of holding that inventory so
much higher in terms of capital, the new environment is one in which balance
sheet facilitation of client trades is less attractive to brokers relative to
agency broking than in the past.
If we add
that in excess of 90% of bonds inventory (some say even 99%) is held by
institutional bond investors, it is easy to understand that we, the asset
management industry, are holding the key to address the liquidity conundrum. Those
large dormant inventories held by asset managers, pension funds and other
institutional investors are a natural source of liquidity that can be used as
an alternative to the now greatly reduced capacity of broker/dealers to use balance
sheets to facilitate clients’ trades.
How can
that be achieved? By shifting from a pure price takers role to a price makers
one, a role that large asset managers like us have to start considering. What
would be the risk and the opportunities connected to such a model change? The
reward would be to take out the spread instead of paying the spread. A price
maker in fact buy at the bid and sell at the offer, therefore the net result will be a significant
improvements in terms of pricing and eventually performance for the end client.
Making
prices does, of course, present a risk of losing money by getting the price
wrong or having unwanted positions. However, asset managers are much better
equipped from to manage inventories for a number of reasons:
-
Brokers/dealers
have their trading books highly mismatched from a maturity perspective’ since
they finance long-term bonds with overnight repo. In contrast to broker/
dealers, asset managers do not have to re-finance their long maturity inventory
every day in the overnight repo market and therefore do not have to bear the
risk of not being able to roll-over repo during a liquidity crunch.
-
Fund
managers do not need to be concerned with collateral or haircuts
-
Asset
managers are not subject to the Basel III Liquidity Ratios which also raise the
cost of broker/ dealer market-making. Their portfolios are already funded by
their fund investors so they are better placed to provide liquidity to each
other than are highly leveraged intermediaries.
We believe
that if the buy-side offered liquidity services successfully, it would have
private and public benefits. The private benefit would be to create another
source of alpha for clients. The public benefit would be a shift of liquidity
provision from highly leveraged firms to unleveraged funds which would likely reduce systemic risk.
And this is
not only true in the secondary market, but would bring huge benefits to the
functioning of the primary market as well, which, as we know, is one of the
main source of alpha for asset managers over the past few years.
Over the
last few years primary markets went through significant change in terms of how the
underwriting system works. Traditionally, in primary deals, lead managers buy the
whole issue from the corporate before it had been sold to investors, thus taking
on price risk prior to distribution. When this happens, broker/ dealers
(investment banks) commit substantial funds, hence regulatory capital, to the
distribution process, which under the new Basel regulatory framework would
become much more costly. Today the majority of the deals eomply the so-called
‘pot’ system, where only when sufficient orders have been collected to cover
the whole amount of the issue (the book), the deal is finally priced. Only at
this point, when there is virtually no risk of loss, the new issue is finally
launched. Bonds are then allocated to clients of all underwriters by the
‘book-running/lead manager. In other words deals are no longer launched until
they are already placed i.e. effectively bought by investors. So the
underwriting risk has largely been taken away from the dealers. On the other
hand, buy-side asset managers find increasingly herder to understand how to
play a more meaningful role in this market as the rules of engagement of the
process of allocation are not always completely clear and transparent. An
alternative would be for the buy-side to work with the sell-side by joining
distribution syndicates and acquiring their positions directly from an issuer.
In such case, the investment bank would undertake only pricing and issue
management rather than also providing capital commitment. As in direct buy-side
participation in the secondary market, this would allow institutional investors
to buy at the syndicate buying price (bid) rather than at the syndicate selling
price (offer). It would, of course, mean taking on a different role and taking
on additional risk but in a similar way to institutional equity investors participate
as new issue sub-underwriters. For those that would undertake these activities
successfully, it would be another way of successfully generating alpha.
The move to
a more active role of asset managers in the market making space is less far
than we think. In fact, while in dealer
markets only dealers can provide quotes, on an order-book markets any trader
accepted on the system can enter limit orders and can thus potentially offer
liquidity to other traders (by being a price maker). As a result, in an electronic
order-book driven market, dealers and buy-side are, in terms of the types of
order they may enter, no different from each other. On an all-to-all platform both
can enter limit orders (make price) as well as market orders (take prices).
Will
institutional bond investors enter the market as ‘dealers’? we don’t know but
certainly tis is an opportunity for asset managers. Certainly the skills
required to price securities are very different from those of the traditional
institutional buy-side trader, whether in equities or bonds. It requires skills,
competence and platform. It require a move to a multi-asset trading desk and a
global integrated trading IT infrastructure that is capable of supporting the
complexity, and related risks, of such activity.
Given the
above, the dominant electronic multi-dealer platforms, such as Marketaxess, Bloomberg,
Tradeweb are all trying to discover new way of connecting people.
What
follows is a non-exhaustive list of initiative that are gathering attention
from market players:
All-to-all:
Buy-side to buy-side: One of the main problems of B2B
trading network is determining the price for a bilateral exchange between two
buy-side participants in the absence of a multilateral market price which could
be considered ‘fair’ to both sides and agreed as fair by the regulator. In the
equity world, this problem is solved by the use of the mid between the best bid
and offer (BBO) across all the marketplaces in which that equity trades – the
European Best Bid and Offer (EBBO). But this is not available for bonds. Blackrock,
which launched a B2B platform in 2012, announced a year after that it was discontinuing
its attempt to offer such a service.
Liquidity
aggregator: Neptune
Call Market: this is also the way in which most European
stock markets including the LSE set opening and closing prices. It simply
consists of a “periodic market auction”. Periodic auctions, rather than continuous
auctions, aggregate the buy-side’s demand for liquidity over a period of time
into a short trading session. In this model, it is thus much more likely that a
match can be found for bonds which trade relatively infrequently. In addition, often
if there is no match, the provider of the ‘sessions’ platform, may be willing
to commit capital and take the other side.
Hybrid system: these are system that use both electronic
trading and voice assistance. It operates in a similar way to a limit order
book in many regards. It requires two parties to agree a price at which they
will trade, but GFI then advertises the trade to the market for a brief period.
More often than not, other participants join in and the trade goes through in
larger size than the amount agreed between the two original parties. This
system brings in people who are neither traditional takers or makers but a
third group which is opportunistic: people who want to see a trade happening
first and will then go along. Order book trading can also be supplemented by
periodic auctions when there is insufficient liquidity in the continuous
trading order book.
We are
probably at a stage in the electronic market development where new trading
platforms will continue to be launched at regular intervals. But we will also
see a Darwinian process whereby many of them will fail to gather sufficient
business and will disappear.
For liquid
bonds, exchange type trading may become more common. Where that liquidity is
not there, a continuos market with pre-trade transparency will not work and
perhaps even periodioc auctions may not solve the problem. Thus brokers/dealers
capital facilitation might be needed at an higher cost. Institutional LIS
crossing network will succeed and buy-side will probably shift toward a more
active role in price making rather than just participating as a price taker.
About technology
If you look at how the trading environment has changed over
the last ten years, it’s exciting. Ten years ago most trades were done over the
phone. Today, we’re talking about microseconds, HFT firms that employ military
technology to maximise their trading speed; that’s how much the market has
changed. Millions of trades happening every second. Once you accept that the
trading environment has changed so dramatically, technology has to be part of
your life. With the worsening liquidity situation in the market and the
fragmentation due to the stricter regulation environment, technology has to
play a major part in our investment strategy. Over the last three years, at
Pioneer, we have made a significant investment in technology, and last year we
completed the deployment of our global order management system, Aladdin, which
is an global Order management System (OMS) with an integrated execution
management system, with all the relevant connectivity.
Today, we are connected, via FIX, to all major electronic platforms;
Tradeweb, Market Access, Bloomberg, TSOX, BondVision. With the volumes and
sizes we trade, we need to leverage on as many sources of liquidity as possible
and in this type of environment, only technology is capable of giving you that
possibility. The fragmentation of liquidity that has been generated by
legislation, regulation and the change of market structure, has now made it
impossible for people sitting on a desk, to go and look at every single venue.
You need to have your order management system, your connectivity to exchanges,
your smart order routing, an optimiser that allows you analyse the quality of
execution that you have in every single venue, and so on.
In 2015, we have also completed the implementation of the
Global Trading Desk, which is one of the reasons we were given the ‘Best
Multi-Asset Trading Desk of the Year’ award. It’s basically, a global
integrated order book, on which all assets can be traded, leveraging local
market expertise. So, if a portfolio manager in Europe wants to execute a US
security, we can leverage on our Boston trading desk. Every order can be
executed in the place where you have the best capability and in the local time
zone, leveraging on the full market day. We feel that that will give us an edge
vis-à-vis our competition, because it will allow us to enhance the quality of
execution, reduce dramatically the cost of trading and minimise the market
impact over all, eventually adding value to the investment process.
I believe the choice an investment firm makes about its
trading technology strategy can significantly impact alpha generation. Having the right
technology infrastructure in today’s
market place is a must to become a best-in-class asset managers and generate
investment performance, beause the right systems will allow fund managers to focus
on what they are paid for, without the distraction of having to spend time in
navigating through cumbersome booking processes or downstream manual tasks. In
today’s highly pressurized trading environment, you cannot ask to traders to
execute a large amount of orders with the right quality, market timing and
speed if they have also have to worry about filling the gap of poorly
integrated systems, which eventually will translate in trade errors,
opportunity costs and compliance breaches. The technology infrastructure that a
financial firm adopts can have resounding repercussions both for the firm and
potentially for its clients.
As an investment organizations that consistently pursue new
asset classes, new strategies and new jurisdictions, in Pioneer senior
management is greatly aware of the importance of having the right IT
infrastructure in place to support growth and scale.
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Today in the bond markets, the traditional broker/ dealers have also become much less willing to hold large positions on their balance sheet. This results in large part from Basel III capital and liquidity rules even though these are not yet fully in place. The new capital rules require much more capital, perhaps four times as much as before, to be posted against trading book positions and the new liquidity rules disadvantage overnight repo financing which makes inventory holding more costly. In the US we also have Dodd-Frank and the Volcker Rule and in the EU, MiFID II, MiFIR and the FTT (which we consider in the final section) which give rise to further issues for market making
The intention of regulators is incentivising a transparent price formation process. This is good as long as transparency does not become an objective itself rather than a mean to achieve a better and fair execution for our clients. We are in favour of a greater transparency, of course. However, there are some orders that are just too big to be worked through an order book. These orders are subject to abuse by HFT and need either to be broken up in child orders or be allowed to rest in a dark pool. I think there is a lot more engagement from the industry this time to ensure that policy-makers get it right. In 2007 the industry was not ready and the unintended consequence of Mifid I have been quite dramatic in terms of fragmentation of liquidity
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